Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.028504 0.030698 0.032898 0.035266 0.037742 0.040249 0.042978
2025-11-09 0.024226 0.027665 0.031240 0.035218 0.039507 0.043977 0.048976
2025-11-16 0.021427 0.025589 0.030032 0.035094 0.040673 0.046604 0.053357
2025-11-23 0.019216 0.023868 0.028947 0.034854 0.041482 0.048640 0.056909
2025-11-30 0.017497 0.022523 0.028126 0.034758 0.042314 0.050587 0.060257
2025-12-07 0.015746 0.021002 0.026981 0.034178 0.042501 0.051727 0.062629
2025-12-14 0.014142 0.019540 0.025804 0.033468 0.042455 0.052531 0.064560
2025-12-21 0.012730 0.018215 0.024707 0.032774 0.042358 0.053221 0.066310
2025-12-28 0.012212 0.017952 0.024846 0.033514 0.043911 0.055790 0.070198
2026-01-04 0.011425 0.017299 0.024470 0.033600 0.044664 0.057409 0.072976
2026-01-11 0.010627 0.016586 0.023979 0.033511 0.045179 0.058728 0.075388
2026-01-18 0.010275 0.016431 0.024168 0.034240 0.046666 0.061186 0.079130
2026-01-25 0.009574 0.015820 0.023807 0.034342 0.047470 0.062931 0.082166
2026-02-01 0.008838 0.015132 0.023334 0.034298 0.048107 0.064504 0.085041
2026-02-08 0.008136 0.014446 0.022824 0.034176 0.048622 0.065912 0.087707
2026-02-15 0.007451 0.013740 0.022251 0.033941 0.048969 0.067098 0.090094
2026-02-22 0.006875 0.013152 0.021806 0.033846 0.049472 0.068459 0.092682
2026-03-01 0.006184 0.012347 0.021026 0.033276 0.049346 0.069028 0.094295
2026-03-08 0.005510 0.011520 0.020176 0.032578 0.049026 0.069333 0.095568
2026-03-15 0.004899 0.010745 0.019362 0.031896 0.048698 0.069606 0.096785
2026-03-22 0.004744 0.010697 0.019585 0.032623 0.050204 0.072177 0.100835
2026-03-29 0.004420 0.010346 0.019351 0.032708 0.050859 0.073673 0.103557
2026-04-05 0.004073 0.009932 0.019005 0.032620 0.051276 0.074861 0.105893